
In just 6 or 7 years we have seen digital cameras evolve from rather
primitive 1-megapixel devices to12+ megapixel wonders, capable of
capturing a level of detail and realism never seen before. There is no
doubt that digital photography is continuing to change rapidly, and
will continue to do so over the next 16 years. So what will cameras be
like in 2020? Tom Wujec, author and futurist, offered his predictions
in a keynote speech at the
PhotoPlus Expo on Thursday.
Using Moore's Law and considering the rate of advancement over
the past several years, Wujec believes that digital cameras in 2020
will be capable of capturing 10-gigapixel images that take up
100-gigabytes of storage each. Memory cards will need to be several
terabytes in size to accommodate the enormous photos. "It's going to
happen," Wujec said. He also described lenses of the future as being
either liquid or plenoptic. Plenoptic lenses would be capable of
capturing 3-deminsional data, and allow users to shoot first and
focus later.
Wujec also pointed out some contemporary developments that may have an
important influence on the future of digital photography. These include
greater use of the internet, automation of work flow, diversification
of photographic services, and the ever-improving usability of
photographic equipment.
During his speech, Wujec took the opportunity to announce his new
project, called Studio 2020, which will collect ideas from people in
the photo industry.